Let's look at some interesting Monday Night Football betting angles and situations from the last seven seasons or even longer. In some cases it was interesting to see what was out there and who they would apply to for 2020 future odds.
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Below are the 17 games scheduled for Monday Night Football this season, all of which will be televised nationally on ESPN.
Monday Night Football Odds
- Week 1 - Pittsburgh (-3.5, 48) at N.Y. Giants
- Week 1 - Tennessee at Denver (-2.5, 42.5)
- Week 2 - New Orleans (-4.5) at Las Vegas
- Week 3 - Kansas City at Baltimore (-2.5)
- Week 4 - Atlanta at Green Bay (-4.5)
- Week 5 - L.A. Chargers at New Orleans (-6.5)
- Week 6 - Arizona at Dallas (-7.5)
- Week 7 - Chicago at L.A. Rams (-3)
- Week 8 - Tampa Bay (-3.5) at N.Y. Giants
- Week 9 - New England (-3.5) at N.Y. Jets
- Week 10 - Minnesota at Chicago (-1)
- Week 11 - L.A. Rams at Tampa Bay (-3.5)
- Week 12 - Seattle at Philadelphia (-2.5)
- Week 13 - Buffalo at San Francisco (-5.5)
- Week 14 - Baltimore (-4.5) at Cleveland
- Week 15 - Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Cincinnati
- Week 16 - Buffalo at New England (-2)
Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers square off with the New York Giants on Monday night football in Week 1. (AP)
Golden games casino. There are tidbits bettors should keep in mind for Monday Night Football, starting with several bigger picture things.
Monday Night Football - The Big Picture!
Since realignment in 2002, 16 of 18 eventual Super Bowl winners had WON a MNF game during that season. Also, 13 of those 18 seasons saw BOTH Super Bowl participants WIN a MNF game that year.
Numbers like that aren't completely out of left field considering the NFL assures each team will get at least one prime time game. These results were further isolated down to teams that actually won their MNF game. Obviously we won't know exactly which teams qualify to be in this trend until the end of Week 16, but it is something to keep an eye on. With the full schedule out, you can further isolate if the team you are eyeing for a future bet has a good shot at winning their MNF game.
Last year, you would have headed into the playoffs with Baltimore, Kansas City, and New England as qualifiers from the AFC, and San Francisco, Green Bay, New Orleans, Philadelphia, and Seattle from the NFC. That's half of the entire playoff field, but it's not exactly the worst play to start your playoff handicapping. How do you play scopa.
The list of teams that won't play on Monday are Miami, Houston, Jacksonville, Indianapolis, Washington, Detroit, and Carolina. Most of those teams are some significant long shots to begin with given they picked quite high in the draft, but omitting most of the AFC South is interesting.
In 6 of the last 7 seasons, at least one team MNF Opening Night winner has made the playoffs.
This trend hones in on that Week 1 MNF double header that has become a great tradition in the sport. It's one that's proved to be highly lucrative for the teams that are involved in those games and start off 1-0.
- Week 1 - Pittsburgh (-3.5, 48) at N.Y. Giants
- Week 1 - Tennessee at Denver (-2.5, 42.5)
This year we've got Pittsburgh facing the New York Giants in the first half of the doubleheader. The second game pits Tennessee and Denver in the nightcap. History suggests that at least one of those two winners will use that win as a jumping off point for a postseason spot. Early 2020 future odds opening lines for those games sit at Pittsburgh -3.5 and Denver -2.5, respectively.
Will this trend continue, and if/how bettors decide to use this knowledge to potentially help their bankroll from Weeks 2 on are two big questions. Maybe a “win the division” future is in the cards for these two teams that come out on victorious?
Monday Night Divisional Games - Inside the Numbers
Of the 40 MNF games that have involved division rivals over the past seven seasons, only 8 of them have been covered by home favorites.
Off the top, there were three games that did 'push' in this category, so you could argue it's 8 out of 37 games, or 11 out of 40 where you at least got your money back. Furthermore, not all of these games had home favorites, so it's important to keep that in mind as well. In fact, those numbers push this angle down to 8 out of 21 games (with three pushes) that have seen the home favorite cover against a division rival. That's still a 56% ATS win rate for fading these teams no matter how you look at it.
2020 future odds doesn't actually bring us any divisional affairs until the Patriots/Jets game on November 9th. But the following weeks spotlights Vikings/Bears, and the final three weeks of MNF action showcase Ravens/Browns, Steelers/Bengals, and Bills/Patriots. Hard to imagine anyone but potentially the Patriots being a home favorite there, so this may not be totally applicable in 2020 future odds.
2020 MNF Divisional Matchups | ||||||||||||||||||
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MNF games featuring NFC division rivals have seen the underdog go 16-6 ATS the past seven years
Again, not completely applicable this season as only one of those division games applies to NFC competition – Vikings/Bears – but should Chicago come out as an early favorite for that tilt, you've now got two things working against them. The home Monday Night Football favorite angle mentioned above, and now this NFC divisional underdog note as well.
- Week 10 - Minnesota at Chicago (-1)
Over the past seven years, MNF divisional games that closed with a line of -3 or less has seen the underdog go 5-0-1 ATS. All five of those ATS victories being outright victories as well.
Probably, not the best of news for Chicago Bears fans. Their team could easily end up in this dreaded range if they close as favorites for against the Vikings. Depending on how the first two thirds of the season goes for the other teams mentioned earlier with MNF division games, we could see more operate under this light as well.
MNF divisional games with 50 point totals or higher over the past seven years have seen the road team go 6-1 ATS
We'll have to wait on the 2020 future odds to settle if any of those divisional MNF matchups set up with a total in the 50's. They tend to actually be a little lower scoring as well, with the O/U record coming in at 2-5 O/U.
Non-Conference Action on Monday Night Football
Over the past seven years, MNF non-conference games with a total of 50 or more points have gone a perfect 6-0 O/U.
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Might as well begin where we left off the last notion, although this way it's completely flipped. Non-conference games tend to get 'over' support because there is next to nothing in terms of built in hatred to the game. But appears as where this truly shines is in MNF games that are expected to see points. The non-conference games on the slate include Steelers/Giants in Week 1, Saints/Raiders in Week 3, Saints/Chargers in Week 5, and Bills/49ers in Week 13.
Vegas Nights Game Hints
If things go according to expectations in New Orleans, some of those Saints games could see totals over 50.
Las Vegas Golden Knights Next Game
Road teams in non-conference MNF games over the past seven seasons are 19-10-2 ATS, while road favorites are 5-1 ATS.
It's interesting to note that of the 5-1 ATS road favorites record among these Monday Night Football angles, the 'over' is also 5-1 as well. That does speak to a bit of lack of defensive intensity from the home side in these non-conference games, but both marks are something to keep in mind. It's likely that three of the four games that qualify in this category will likely have road favorites attached to them.
New Orleans is likely to favored in their two AFC West road games, while Pittsburgh is already a -3 road favorite over the Giants. Should i go to the casino today. Backing the Saints in prime time has gained some traction in the marketplace the past few years. Adding them to a favorable role like this will only fuel them likely being the majority side once kickoff(s) arrive.
2020 MNF Interconference Matchups | |||||||||||||||
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